One absence is notable; as of August 18th, no Christian leaders said anything. None. Nothing. Nada. In the context of a sectarian system, this is remarkable; in the absence of an outside overlord,
The Christians make up the last 1/3… But they are politically “watching”. They appear to be watching to see how this turn up before they make any commitment; they have been burned before.
An alliance of either 2 of those players can effectively rule the country. In the present context, the only immediately viable alliance would be Sunni-Druze-Christian, with the hope that they would reform the system to rid it of its sectarian nature (fat chance).
In any case, most Christians recall how the Druze leader Joumblat (a.k.a Svengali) made a deal with the Sunni leader Saad (a.k.a Saad) and the Shiite leader Berri (a.k.a Henlein), to circumvent the Christians and win himself a few extra MPs. All this in spite of the fact that Christians bore the brunt of the Syrian occupation; while Hezb whines after the 3 prisoners in Israeli jails, he forgets the more than 1,000 kidnapped by Syria. To this maneuvering we owe the current government, a chimera of pro-Syrian Shiites and Anti-Syrians, which left the most Anti-Syrian of all, Michel Aoun (a.k.a I need Prozac), in opposition. To wiggle out of his isolation, he made an uneasy alliance of sorts with pro-Syrian elements…
The internal Lebanese situation is hopelessly blocked; in this context, Joseph Hitti can be hardly excused for his pessimism. No matter that the balance sheet is woefully negative, Mr. Shater Hassin will still continue in this path;
Bigger balls notwithstanding, we still have brains to take stock of the results of the “liberation” enterprise, and it does not take much to see that, no matter how big Nasrallah’s balls grow as a result of this conflict,
In this context,
And UN resolution 1701 is no exception.
This will lead to some other stunt by Hezb, who is now neither withdrawing nor disarming, while under pressure by a weakling Lebanese government who is "peacefully, internally, and without outside pressures". I am not sure how this bullshit will work on what is effectively “the best guerilla force in the world”, or how much ice it will cut with France, and for how long. Making up the UNIFIL force is already proving problematic, as
Thanks to Hezb’s obstruction, the enduring stalemate will not last;