Within all the “noise”, an interesting few comments by Berri sneaked in. Rumour mills in
Tu quoque, Fili?
That guy may be placing himself as the Shiite alternative to Hezb; no doubt that, after his recent trip there, the Saudis are betting on this horse for leverage against Hezb. No doubt that they are betting that Nasrallah’s mistakes may have damaged his popularity among Shiites.
His “Landmark Visit to Saudi Arabia”, while formally aimed as an attempt to avert a Shiite-Sunni war, may have been a way to place himself outside
Mutassarifiya, Part Deux / Saudi Version?
In an opinion piece, the Daily Star's Young had already warned the Christians not to stay on the sidelines too long, lest they be sidelined (If, by sidelines, he means Aoun’s alignment with Hezb, then it comes oddly after his earlier advice to do just that). Now that the
I am not sure how it will all work out, however.
The Fate of Best Laid Plans.
On one hand, a 21st Century Lebanon need more than a new version of the 19th Century “Mutassarrifiya”. The Lebanese have outgrown the vassal status, especially the most economically productive among them.
On the other hand, if the last war demonstrated anything, it is Von Moltke’s dictum that “no plan survives first contact with the enemy”. Especially a plan among such unreliable allies.
Expect another surprise from Walid Beyk.
He has already cleaned up the Druze house, with an organising law passed with unanimity in a divided Lebanese Parliament, and a successful election that satisfied the Joumblatis, reassured the Yazbakis, and sidelined the house of Arslan.
Now that the Druze house is in order, another of Joumblat’s trademark shifts may already be in the works.
In the Meantime…
Expect more manoeuvring, and a resumption / interruption / postponement of the “National Dialogue”. That may be the best “surprise” Berri can really deliver. At least, it will bring some badly needed business to Downtown stores.
In the meantime, as our “leaders” are distracted, we better “get the hell outta Dodge” while we still can, like so many others have done already.
Nabih Berri made his announcement; He “invited Wednesday rival political leaders for a consultation session to be held October 30 aimed at resolving demands for the formation of a national unity government”.