Those who support rogues states claim that the nuclear watchdog is biased, and use
Is the Nuclear Watchdog Biased?
Before you clamour for justice or bias, consider this; at least
The French claimed a similar logic when they carried out their last test before signing the CTBT. We did not like it, but they though they needed more data. Then they signed the treaty.
Other countries have chosen the path of lies and deceit; signing in to the NPT to get the necessary “official” support, while cheating on its actual provisions to develop the “military” component.
Nukes as Effective Weapons
The use of Nukes as weapons was necessitated by the comparatively lousy precision of 20th Century “vectors”; witness the high difference between the yields of the warheads deployed by Russians (3-4 Megatons) and American (1-2 Megatons).
The fact is that neither really knew for sure; those babies were being launched in East-West flights. In case of war, they would have been fired across the North Pole, where the earth magnetic field does many weird things.
Glad no one ordered a realistic test; Global Warming is bad enough, a nuclear winter would have been far worse. It would have turned Earth into Venus. Then again, none of the boffins who devised those systems knew much about climatology; long after the last Venera probes melted on Venus did they realise how close we had come to hell…
But I digress…
Today, the weapons are getting better and smaller, but not because the eggheads had any bout of wisdom. The 21st Century has seen much improvement in navigation and targeting, so much so that “precision long-range conventional weapons may be [increasingly] capable of performing some of the missions currently assigned to nuclear weapons (1)”.
A new type of bomber is already under study; based in the
I can’t help but think of a certain Mr Kim,
Again, I digress…
Nukes as Effective Terror Weapons
Granted, there are few things more dangerous than Bin Laden with a nuke.
You should be able to stop them by:
1- Arrest the guy. If you pay enough money, no Jirga will protect him; some guys will sell their own mothers for the right “incentive”, regardless of any tribal "jirga" pseudo-code. Many may have already done so.
2- Use some intelligence when dealing with extremists. I am talking about the type that is generated between your ears, and which comes free; hire linguists that speak Arabic, Farsi… whatever, and who understand the culture. That means many among the Arab looking you had mistakenly arrested.
3- Remember Tim McVeigh. The next one may not be the one you expect. Recall that Bin Laden was an unforeseen byproduct of the cold war and the struggle against communism. The current “War on Terror” may be cooking another brew; with his “known knowns and known unknowns”, the Donald made some sense. The demons we are awakening may not be the ones we currently fear.
So, what scares me more than Bin Laden with a Nuke?
Someone should tell those new warriors/liberators that “Rambo” was killed in
Unless one plans to shoot first, regardless of potential victims.
REF: (1) Report by Stephen M. Younger, Associate Laboratory Director for Nuclear Weapons,