Nasrallah has Revealed Next Move.
He did so during another one of those ant-American Jamborees. How can we trust what he said?
Simple; we know Nasrallah is telling the truth because Nasrallah says he is telling the truth, and since Nasrallah never lies, he can only be telling the truth when he says is telling the truth. Q.E.D.
Simpler; he has painted himself into this corner. Backing down now would mean certain defeat, and maybe worse. His best strategy is to escalate matters and hope for best. Still, this “Inch Allah” option is going to be a helluva “Hail Mary Pass”, and they’ll be hell to pay; I think the 3rd commandments applies to all of us monotheists, Jews, Christians and Moslems. Dura Lex...
And this time, the truth is embedded in the message, as pointed out by an excellent piece on Naharnet, “Nasrallah's 'National' Tag”, by Mohammed Salam. Mr Salam point out the key statements in the speech, where the Great Syed now asks for the help of other "National " factions.
When in a hole… get a Fig Leaf.
I a move to perpetuate the resistance myth, he is looking for fig leaves… er, Allies that can join his march for Liberation; by combining the forces of his “Islamic Resistance in Lebanon (IRL)” with the “Lebanese National Resistance Movement (LNRM)”.
No doubt those "secular" movement will forget how many of them were "liquidated", to give room for Hezb to take over the "Resistance", much like Hezb forgot Syria's massacre of its men the Khairallah barracks during the "war of the Suburbs". Who ever said loveless marriages do not last? Aoun already forgave Syria for the kidnappings of his supporters..
We’ll call the new outfit the “Non-Denominational Alliance of the Islamic-Christian Proletariat for a National Resistance Movement against Zionists and their Western Lackeys (NDAICPNRMaZWL)”. Also known as “BFD” for short; Another perpetuation of the myth of "Lebanese Exception" and our fake unity, and maybe even the mythology of world-wide class struggle... к победе, камрады!
Since the UNIFIL is in the Way…
Expect the first actions around February 14th; no, not south, that would give away the plan. Expect another push north, from Dahyeh to Downtown…
It appears that Hezb now considers “that it is ‘criminal’ for citizens to gather, demonstrate, and hold sit-ins”. I guess the planned commemoration of Hariri’s assassination is a threat to national security. True, Hariri had his faults, but he did not kill that many people.
True, downtown is turning into a shrine, which sometimes makes me regret the fist candles we lit up there… But it is a fact that Hariri had his admirers, not all for hire; I can think of more than 22,000 extended families that now benefit from their children’s education.
Now, according to Hezb, commemorations and gatherings for this war-monger “may lead to civil strife”, the “responsibility is borne by the individuals who participate, and the leaders of the groups that call for such gatherings”.
Of course, unless Hezb-bla-bla moves to confront this threat to “national unity”…
The Road to Liberate Shebaa goes Through… Downtown!
… Or to mass suicide; this was pointed out by Anton Effendi, in his “Path to Suicide” post. Indeed, by painting any reasonable compromise as “surrender”, Nasrallah condemns his followers to a uselss, suicidal, civil war.
Why useless? Nasrallah forgets that he "could liberate Jerusalem and hand it back to the Palestinians tomorrow", but "he will always be a rejectionist Muslim" to most Sunni Moslems. The Kurdish prince Salah El-Din E;-Ayoubi was a great hero, but his "liberation" of Jerusalem did not the Kurds much good at Halabja.
Why civil war? Well, the Daily Star’s Michael Young warned that “next time around, Lebanon will be in a civil war”, because of the persistence of such Jusqu’au bout-isme. However, few among the current Shiite leadership are likely to heed his warning.
Why Suicidal? Even Hezb’s ex leader Subhi Tufayli has noted the danger in this attitude, and reminded the Shiites to forego the “majority/minority” discourse.
Indeed, much like Christians, Alawites and Druze, Shiites are “small minorities scattered in the vast sea of the Islamic world”. They are even more so within “Greater Syria”, where it remains “in their interest to be allies for the majority and to mend fences with Sunnis”. In an increasingly sectarian
They better stand up and take notice; compared to Tufayli, Nasrallah used to sound like a moderate and a realist among the fundamentalists, if there ever was such a thing. So when Tufauli calls your actions “crazy”…
… You’ve really stepped in it.