A crassly sectarian mode of thinking is a la mode nowadays.
The Al-Nahar newspaper published statistics that purported to show that the communities were more or less evenly matched. I think there was more to the numbers… In spite of the poor quality of the data, we can do still do some digging in the numbers; this is (more or less) valid because we are not looking at Absolute terms, but carrying out a Relative comparison. What emerges was a completely different picture.
A look at the data shows that:
2- Baby Boom: While Shiite and Christian fertility rates have been converging, the fertility rates in northern Sunni areas are about 50% more than the rest of
3- Vanishing Christians: Within the next 5 years, the proportion of Christians will fall further, below 20%, under the combined effect of decreased fertility and increased emigration.
4- Rising Sunnis: The Shiites appear to be on top today. But the Sunnis are more than catching up, thanks to their higher fertility and younger population. If they have not already done so; some yet unpublished statistics actually show that Sunnis may already be the largest single community.
If you disagree, wait about 5 years. This is time
Hezb wants to ride the wave of a “Shiite Majority”, and has taken over that community. Monsignor Nasrallah thinks he has the upper hand; no one would try to “dislodge” an entire community… Or wouldn’t they?
They have taken up too much, and I fear that Hezb has already been beaten at his own fundamentalist game… Hezb may not survive its own “victory”, and may already be on the way out. In the crass sectarian politics of the
Hezb may be the top dog today, but the Salafists are now on the rise, and will prove far nastier than Hezb can ever be. Think about it; they have a democracy, of sorts in Mullah-dominated
To top it all, this has the potential for a renewed push for the "greater
So far so good, The Turks are back...
It seems that experts agree that Salafis are the main threat. In its findings, the “Task Force on Future Terrorism” formed by the “Homeland Security's Advisory Council” considers that “the most significant terrorist threat to the homeland and to U.S. interests abroad today is a growing radical, extremist movement underpinned by a jihadist/Salafist ideology”.
This maybe an opening to