Tuesday, February 27, 2007

Sounds of Despair

Many hear grumbles of war in the region. I hear sounds of Despair coming from Syria and Iran. Or sounds of desperately closing ranks all round.

There are a few empty boasts too many from the actors. Growing up in Lebanon, I have learned never to take news at face value; the context often matters are much as what is being said.

Sleiman Beyk’s Outburst

In this respect, Sleiman Beyk’s absurdly stupid diatribe against the Lebanese Forces, only makes sense if one considers that he is effectively contained in the “Christian street” in Northern Lebanon, with Aoun nowhere to be found.

Most people are disappointed enough to stay away from politics, at least “those politics”, which definitely limits his “client base”. And not all Christians are disgusted enough by Aoun to follow Geagea, and many army towns such as Kobeyyat will never go to the “Hakim”, but the growth of the LF in Northern Lebanon is palpable. Franjieh’s position is threatened, not only as a northern Zaim, but also as a Zghorta Zaim.

His own political appeal has always been limited compared to others from his clan... And now, his power is under threat from others in the Moawad clan, and even from within his own clan from his uncle Samir… Even his own son may get in on the action.

Closing Ranks

In this respect, his little outburst is only an attempt at closing the clan’s ranks. He is trying to bring back the memories of his father, killed by Geagea, the Gemayels, and… Hobeika. I am not sure how he can explain befriending this last one… In any case, closing the ranks has been the fashion this past week, as we are gearing up for more escalation. Pardon;” civil disobedience”…

The Bishop with his Sunday sermon appeared to be inching was “closing sectarian ranks”. Whether the Christians are arming again or not is irrelevant; they now have a reason to do so.

The Hariri / March 14th camp was closing ranks as well, using the fear of Hezb’s rising new canton… Hezb’s formidable force of occupation will justify some financial arm-wrestling, and maybe bringing in some measure of support to Lebanon’s beleaguered government, leaving the people to fend for themselves... Rather than keeping Lebanon out of the gathering storm, we’re diving deeper into it…

Rather than splitting away, the Iranians and Syrians, appear to be closing ranks as well, with a new weapon in their arsenal; Photoshop! It beats killing defenceless civilians, and makes better news than throwing rocks are peacekeepers, and it has more “visibility” than shifting some troops around… So, if you can’t launch a satellite, you can make it look like you did; your supporters will believe you enough to gobble up those plastic keys, and rise to your defence.

But you can’t fire Photoshop rockets.

8 comments:

fubar said...

Rocket Man,

"Can't believe they can be THAT moronic."

LOL. The trick to reading the Iranian press is finding the one truth in the one hundred lies.

ghassan karam said...

If enough Lebanese can close rank in order to keep more rascals out ( Franjieh, Arslan, Karami et al need company) then maybe all is not lost.

Karami has suffered two consecutive losses, can he survive a third one?

slacker said...

Not very convincing Jeha;
some might argue that the sounds of despair are coming from the USA and the beggers of the US aid...
On the other hand you talk about shifting "client bases" as if you,ve been performing surveys.
And all that talk about "photoshops", is that expert opinion or wishfull thinking?

fubar said...

While you often have very good art in your posts, the art in this post was better than average. = )

But for purposes of comparison, strictly speaking solely in terms of artistic expression, of course...

http://mypetjawa.mu.nu/archives/186422.php

Jeha said...

Slacker,
I guess I have been letting my guard down. I am still trying to figure out the "data" from the "noise"...

Fubar, Ghassan,
That was the picture of my favourite Franjieh; Lamitta Franjieh. Still, in addition to looks, Nazanin appears to have the brains...

ghassan karam said...

Jeha,
If Lamittas' photo is not airbrushed, photoshopped and doctored
then I am at a loss. !!! My grand father hailed from Zgharta and I do not recall ever seeing any light skinned people among the Marada?
I have seen, however, many light skinned people with blonde hair and blue eyes in some Syrian villages. That phenomenon is easy to explain. There is very little mobility among these villagers but that is not the case in Lebanon is it?

Jeha said...

Ghassan, check the link. I thinkn Lamitta herself is airbrushed in this pic. But still, a good looking Franjieh, and the most presentable member of the venerable clan, for now...

abou TOny said...

And you wan t that i belive this poooooor image of a new state of hizbullah in lebanon
that map is realy somthin pooor
hundreds of shia villigas and towns arent in the marked area
it s to pooor get somthin usefulll
to belive