Our Leaders are apparently negotiating an end to the crisis. Right leaders, wrong address. They miss the real issue in
The Hopes of Regional Powers
(and this other Bazaar), where the regional powers are meeting for some face time. The neighbours, particularly
Iraqis are not as fanatical about sacrificing their lives for their neighbours as the Lebanese are; Shiite Arabs did fight alongside Sunni Arabs during the Iran-Iraq war. Iraqis tend to be more mindful than other Arabs that “history of the region tells us to not trust the words of dictators and clerics, for words are inexpensive and clerics and dictators have plenty of words they are willing to use to buy time”.
Pottery Barn or Archie Andrews?
Turki was not softie, and the current team in charge is a little bit more “hard-line”. I do not know much about American politics, but I think I do know a thing or two about World history and
Unfortunately, Lebanese history may be a better guide;
I’ll go on a limb here; give it a couple of years at most; at the earliest, with a new resident in the Elysée, and at the latest, with a new inhabitant of the White House. Even the French, and the Europeans after them, will soon bring in some support.
Surge 2.0, coming soon…