Sunday, June 17, 2007

Legacy Systems

This little game of ours is far from over and gets more dangerous by the day. The words of what’s-her-face from NBN are only symptomatic of a deeper malaise.

She fails to realize the extremes to which some fanatics are willing to go. She fails to realize how uncontrollable the “street” is now actually becoming. For all the evidence of Syrian manipulation, things may have gotten out of hand, and I fear Hezb and March 8th are even more uncontrollable than the “other side”. True, their infeodation to a Faqih implies a level of control over the local pressure cooker.

But I see 2 problems with this;

1- Khomeini’s True Heirs

Iran’s Revolution is no mere socio-political phenomenon, and its goals are not limited to one country.

Its goals are clearly stated in the constitution as “Framing the foreign policy of the country on the basis of Islamic criteria, fraternal commitment to all Muslims, and unsparing support to the freedom fighters of the world” (Article 3-15).

And who are those freedom fighters? Well, simply all those whose freedom is beholden to the views of the leader of the “Umma”, a “just and pious person”, who is in charge until the return “of the Wali al-'Asr”.

2- Persian Realpolitik

This is the second problem; while the Faqih-du-jour may be realistic enough to think in tactical terms, his level of control may be waning.

For one, the Faqih himself is embroiled in a struggle, a side-effect of the routing of the “moderates” or “reformers”.

A side-effect of this struggle is the relative incoherence of Iranian foreign policy, as demonstrated by the British Marine’s fiasco. Another side effect is the regime’s increasing nervousness, unable to do much about Iran’s true ailments, the police is increasingly targeting a hard to control “morality” Hair Gel, “Bad Hijab”…

… They still have some good professional protestors who can whip up quite a nice frenzy. Someone should forward them the memo which discusses how poorly progress, science, and religion do mix.

A House Divided

Khomeini once reminded Iranians that he had promised them “revolution, not democracy”. A phrase ripe with meaning.

And since history has so far demonstrated that “a revolution devours its children”, the offsprings of this one are apparently bent on devouring one another; if Iran stands now a house divided, it is a three-way struggle among:

The Nasty (Rafsanjani)

The Nastier (Der Faqih)

The Nastiest (Ahmadinejad).

Hence the following questions;

Aside from her side’s political setback, that may be what-her-face’s true malaise, and why she feels that March 14th did actually “Halakouna”… So, since we’re beyond talking, and since Khomeini’s Iranian Heirs are bent on devouring one another:

How will Khomeiny’s Lebanese grand children act, when they find themselves orphaned in Lebanon, among all those Levantine wheeler dealers?

How will True Believers respond to the (slow) unmaking of their version of the Faith?

Or is the question a couple of years too soon?


4 comments:

Pazuzu said...

Well I think things are about to change in terms of the Iranian influence, Look at the fuel crisis that's threatening the Iranian market. The nuclear research and the confrontation are depleting the Iranian economy, they are reaching the point where they won't be able to exploit their most abondent resources.

But here's the problem, that won't solve any of our problems, because our problem is the fragility of our own patriotism. So if it's not Iran it's going to be someone else who will fill the void. The same groups that are now supported by Iran will find someone else to support them. I just hope the next couple of years pass with as little blood as possible.

Anonymous said...

Khomeini

Nader Iranpour
June 18, 2007

Oh Imam

Oh Imam we thought we were right
and you were wrong

You said Shah must go

We thought you were wrong

You said neither east nor west

We thought you were wrong

You said we will be independent

We thought you were wrong

You said the revolution is Islamic

We thought you were wrong

You said destroy SAVAK

We thought you were wrong

You said Israel is cancer

We thought you were wrong

You said Sadam was evil

We thought you were wrong

You said “Amrika heech ghalati nemitavanad bokonad”.

We thought you were wrong

Oh Imam, now we know, after all these years, you were right and we were wrong.

ghassan karam said...

Anon,
I have never seen a faultier logic than the one that you seem to be very proud off in your attempt at poetry!!!. It is interesting how you take it for granted that the "we" is the whole world except for Khomeini and then you construct simplistic propositions that do not stand the test of any form of serious analysis so that you can demolish the argument that you have so meticulously built on faulty premises.
Normally I would have never bothered to respond to such ill considered and amateurish efforts except that I feel that you are so enthralled with the Imam that you really believe your silly utterances. And that is very dangerous to civil society, democratic rule and rational discussions.

(BTW, I will not bother to say anything else on this topic)

GEBRAN'S SONS said...

Blessed Khomeini and Company,

Out of incredible natural richness you created misery,

Out of a glorious civilization you created an outrageous monstrosity

Out of liberating love of god you created a prison for the soul

Out of intellectual enlightenment you created spiritual bankruptcy

Out of love of family you created criminal overpopulation

Out of love of freedom you created deep hypocrisy

Out of development and progress you created nuclear bombs

Out of the natural instinct of building you created destruction

Out of the force of life you created agonizing death…

Death of a country, a great civilization, a glorious religion,

When everything you do fails, keep blaming it on the West

Because if you hide for a moment your American Satan,

Your people will quickly recognize you as the Great Satan.