There was some lucidity on display on this week’s “Kalam El Nass” on LBC. I got an an eerie feeling of “déjà blogged”, as Marcel Ghanem’s three invitees were debating one another, you could see “between the words”, the outlines of the developing fight
Viewers had the usual dog and pony show, delivered artfully by a Syrian MP, “Doctor” Muhammad Habash. For all his rants about who’s the real terrorist or assassin, quite a lot of truth underlay all his lies, and revealed much on the Syrian thinking. Much of their strategy is based on two things;
1 – The Syrian regime feels it is winning, with the
No matter the messages delivered, the Syrians will not divert from this track. They may pause for a while, but the long term needs remain the same.
The Saudi side was represented by Jamal Khashoggi, editor-in-chief of the Saudi al-Watan. He reminded the Syrians of this; in view of the larger US interests in the region and of their alignment with an increasingly assertive House of Saud, the Syrian strategy of “waiting for the democrats” may soon backfire…
The Saudi focus is simple. First, it wants an uninterrupted business corridor between
1- With its current obstructionism,
2- They have given up talking to the Syrians. They prefer to address the Iranians directly; in the past, they talk to
3- Because of the nuclear issue,
Nohad Mashnouq cautioned both that their goals will not be easy to reach… Enthralled by their passion for “their” side, each appears to misunderstand the real dynamics that animate the complex Arab psyche, and they could both misjudge the West’s and the Saudi’s real resolve and foresight in the face of determined threats.
Like him, I am not so sure that
Since the shooting did not start yet, there is still hope for us to “call the whole thing off”. According to Nohad Mashnouq, one way to sidestep this would be to expand the government, because it will be unable to deal with the looming presidential vacancy in its present shape.
Marcel Ghanem was right when he complimented the Syrian MP on his gusto, stating that he would be a great anchor for a program on politics, or comedy, or both. A Dark comedy, to be sure; as Jamal Khashoggi cautioned, we’re in for an eventful 2 years in this fertile crescent of ours…
Interesting times, indeed….