Aoun Gains a New MP Seat
Now, he’s only short another 50 to win the presidency. And he has to keep in mind that most Maronites in the Metn voted against his candidate, who was defeated in his own village. He’s going to miss his allies in Jbeil and Kesrouan.
And those Syrian votes will not come cheap…
Gemayel Wins a Majority of Maronites
But then he wasted his moral victory by attacking the Armenian votes. Verbal outburst are expensive in politics… True, the Tashnag may have marshalled a few dead men to vote for Aoun. But those same zombies had voted for the Kataeb before, and could do so again when the tables are turned.
He will need all the support he can get if he hopes to be president another time. After all, we’re all here because of the great job he did last time… And his latest outburst does not look very presidential.
The Armenians Taught March 14th a Lesson
True, those who claim March 14th usurped the Armenian representation in 2005 by abusing Syrian-era electoral laws to impose MPs with only 3% Armenian support. But Bikfaya’s a long way from Borj Hammoud. By stumbling into a fight that is not their own, the Tachnag really stuck their necks out this time…
Murr Established Himself as Kingmaker
But we knew that already, so why did he spend so much capital on something of so little consequence? True, the Syrians may have twisted a few arms, which explains why Sheikh Amine reserved his venom for the Tashnag. True, March 14th needs his son as a ministerial seat filler.
But how long can King Lear maintain his high wire act?
Back to square One...
Sometimes, politics is about more than just the art of the possible. It is about choices. Good choices, hopefully.
In this case, every one made bad decisions, and everyone won a little, but not enough to change matter. They fought one another to the stalemate prior to June 2005. So the question remains; as each top dog clutches their "victory":
Now that the dog caught the car…
What can it do with it?