For all the coordination between orange and yellow, they do clash sometimes, and the HassAoun couple could not really dance to the same tune... This was demonstrated last July, when Fath-du-Jour and friends tried a stab/slice/thrust… at a northern Lebanese Caliphate. For all his faults, Der General had to bear in mind that his fan base is recruited among many of the best and brightest of Lebanon’s secular base. So, no matter the Hezbo'Noose around his neck, Aoun could not approve of his partner’s/boss’s “Red Lines”.
War of the Marionettes
Let’s not kid ourselves; none of them is really in control.
We are in the middle of a larger power struggle. In this version of the Middle Eastern Great Game, we are not even pawns; we are part of the chessboard, albeit the central part, for now. And the French, for all the
And even if Kouchner can sing, Syria is playing a different tune. And it is playing for keeps, a high stakes poker where it is fast running out of cards. The Assad regime is playing a “Poker-for-Life”, and until now, it needed to maintain a semblance of “
The Greater Great Game
But the regime forgets that, for all is alacrity and shrewdness in criminal matters, it may now only another piece of that chess board. Regional powers increasingly treat it with contempt, and only value it for what it is not, or fear it for what it can do.
Those who value it for what it is not fear that in its absence, an Islamic state would rise in Bilad El-Sham. Many of those wet blankets are in Israel; they fear what it can do and hope that placating it will deflect from them the ire of terrorists.
And in this lays the weakness of the Assad regime; by alining itself on Iran, it is not merely opposing Western proclaimed "goals" as standing in the way of larger interests. And by promoting chaos in Lebanon and exporting terrorists to other countries, it is convincing even the wettest blankets that the alternative can hardly be worse; not too many burqas in Turkey, after all...
Abid’Allah, we can deal with, but Ahzab’Allah are another thing…