In the first six to twelve months of a war with the
And so it was. The admiral did not live to see his understated prediction come true. Even he could have foreseen the sheer horror visited upon
As in the past war, the Druze have united in a sectarian fight against “the Shiite”. For all the talk from pro-Syrian “leaders”, it appears that all “bani maarouf” have been checking Hezb’s advance all through last Sunday, maintaining control over their towns and strategic positions such as “hill 888” and well into Sunday night, all in the face of a heavy artillery barrage, with Hezb’s guns bombing many Druze villages.
Hezb’s forces may yet storm the mountain; the Druze are isolated and encircled, and supplies should be running low. The news blackout creates difficulties, but we can always figure a few things out; the artillery barrage, for example, had been going on all Sunday with little reports, and whatever filtered was inaccurate… But we're sure of one thing; those “mlabbas” was not ‘82’s, but a much higher caliber.
Tings should be clearer by tomorrow, but one thing is certain; this is the Druze's finest hour.
The Rise of the Nasties
Elsewhere, the population has been confronting Hezb, and the situation has been unraveling fast. In most of the country, it has already turned into a sectarian fight, and Sunni fundamentalists are rising against what they consider to be apostates. Bashar's comeback may not be an easy one, especially if Sunni-Alawite clashes in Tripoli spread into Syria...
In the North, the news blackout and Hariri’s silence are having a perverse effect, encouraging the worse rumours among an already paranoid proletariat. What filtered out so far is worrying, to say the least; the attack against the pro-Hezb PSNS/SNSP (a.k.a .Nationalsozialistische Syrische Volksparte ) offices in Halba was more like a massacre, and Shiite villages in the Akkar region are now effectively cut-off, and may soon come under attack unless the Army intervenes.
In the Beqaa, while Hezb domination is strong, there is some fighting, and standoff in the
The Southern Neighbour
One thing is certain, we have lost two major shields that protect
The first shield is the army, which has all but unravelled, increasingly perceived by many as acting in coordination with Hezb. Whether this is the reality is debatable, but the perceptions matter supremely, especially when information is so dire.
One thing is certain, the “unfairness” of military orders that enjoin them to “keep the peace” in the North while standing by in the rest of the country was apparently not lost of many officers and soldiers. Whether the rumours of officer resignations are doubtful, the fact is that Sunni and Christian troops in the North are standing by while the nasties are moving around exacting Sectarian revenge.
The only thing keeping the army together now is that no crazy officer came along to make stupid declarations.
The second shield is legality, such as it is. Aside from the fat that the “opposition’s” calling PM Siniora corrupt is like the pot calling the kettle black. For all his faults and those of March 14th, the Prime Mniister today IS
Without Siniora we have no government. Without a government, the Israelis would feel justified in considering
Whose side is Nasrallah really on?