Except that Syrian troops had been in
Except that Lebanese officials have turned their coats so frequently that now they can only lower their pants. When good men make bad choices, it is the innocent who pays.
The True Number of Detainees
We have looked at the data on true number of detainees. The data is patchy, but one thing emerges; of those detainees released so far, less than 20% were actually claimed by their families. We have carried out a cursory “review” of those families who did not claim their own.
First, many of those extended families had more family members still detained in
Second, many of those families are in regions with extensive Syrian presence. Many are Shiites who are affiliated neither with Hezb, nor with Berri’s Amal party; in
So, you do the math. Knowing take a low number of SOLIDE’s claimed 400 hundred detainees. It is likely that they represent a mere 20% of the actual “population” of detainees. Therefore, there would be about 2,000 Lebanese detainees in Syria who are either still held, or were actually “disappeared” by the Syrian regime.
To those who would like better "data sources" than this biased blog, there are more reliable sources of information. But Fermi's approach is a good enough guide for this situation, and a more detailed analysis will come up with a similar number; it's all about orders of magnitude, after all, and you would expect more than 400, and less than 10,000, the number of people still missing during the Lebanese war.
And no, I am forgetting that there were other “players” in
We Lebanese have our faults, but there can be no moral equivalence between our government’s serial incompetence in this matter and the Syrian regime’s serial killing in our country.